The Lowry Letter® - 6/21/2025

June 21, 2025

We are nearly halfway through 2025. We have seen a market correction and a market recovery, as well as major regional conflicts and significant policy uncertainty. For long-term investors, this is ultimately just noise. More on this in “Ask the Joes®.”

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Last week, we briefly discussed the Israel-Iran conflict and its uncertain implication for global markets. This article provides some historical context, looking at 25 past geopolitical shocks and their impact on markets.
The research shows that most of the time, market declines associated with these events are short and usually not severe. It reinforces our belief that investment decisions should not be made based on these events alone.
Commonwealth’s Rob Swanke looks at the first half of the year and some plausible scenarios for the market through year-end.