The Lowry Letter® - 11/15/2025

November 15, 2025

The big news this week is the release of 2026 Retirement Plan contribution limits. We break down key changes below (source: Planadvisor.com):

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  • Individual Retirement Accounts (IRAs): Contribution limits increase to $7,500, with the catch-up contribution for those 50 or older increasing to $1,100. This means an individual over 50 can contribute $8,600.

  • 401(k), 403(b), and 457 plans: Contribution limits increase to $24,500, with the catch-up contribution for those 50 or older increasing to $8,000. This means an individual over 50 can make a contribution of $32,500.

    • Individuals between 60 and 63 can make additional catch-up contributions of $3,750, with their total potential contribution amount increasing to $36,250.

  • Other important changes include that retirement plan participants over 50 cannot deduct their catch-up contributions if their FICA compensation amount was more than $145,000 in the 2025 tax year.

    • In other words, if your 2025 FICA wages were $145,001, and you are over 50, any catch-up contributions in 2026 will be treated as Roth contributions and will not be deducted from income.

    • The loss of the deduction is unfortunate, but not a reason to avoid catch-up contributions. Roth amounts can be very useful in retirement.

  • Additional cost-of-living adjustments have been made, including the phase-out amounts for deductible IRA contributions and Roth contributions.

  • The very dense official IRS notice can be found here.

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Q: The government shutdown is over. What is the impact?
A: A few things have occurred:
  • The Council of Economic Advisors estimates economic impact of $90 billion or so. The Congressional Budget Office thinks $11 billion of that is permanently lost. The CBO also expects it to have reduced 4th quarter GDP by as much as 1.5% but boosted GDP for the first quarter of 2026 as some activity is pushed to that year.
  • Some important government reports will not be released since the data was not collected during the shutdown. This may include October employment and inflation numbers. Other reports will be slower.
  • This will complicate the Federal Reserve’s December plans, as they won’t have the data they rely on. This might push back the timeline for further interest rate adjustments.